Trading Performance must be managed at 2 levels: Portfolio and Trade specific. Portfolio Measure:Profit/Start of Year Cash Balance = $23814/$50000 = UP 47%. Key Performance Metrics … Win/Loss Probability = 35/49 = 71.43%. Average Win/Average Loss = $855/$436 = $1.96 Won per $1 Loss. Performance Ratio = (Win/Loss Probability) x (Average Win/Average Loss) = 71.43% x $1.96 = 1.40. Positive Expectancy = (Win Probability x Average Win) – (Loss Probability x Average Loss) = (71.43% x $855) – (28.57% x $436) = $486 per trade. NO trade adjustments needed. For more: www.homeoptionstrading.com

Jan 2010 Trading Profit is UP 12%. Trading Performance must be managed at 2 levels: Portfolio and Trade specific. Portfolio Measure:Profit/Start of Year Cash Balance = $6038/$50000 = UP 12%. Key Trade Performance Metrics: Win/Loss Probability = 18/30 = 60%. Average Win/Average Loss = $579/$365 = $1.59 Won per $1 Loss. Performance Ratio = (Win/Loss Probability) x (Average Win/Average Loss) = 60% x $1.59 = 0.95. Positive Expectancy = (Win Probability x Average Win) – (Loss Probability x Average Loss) = (60% x $579) – (40% x $365) = $201 per trade. For more, visit: www.homeoptionstrading.com

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